CupIndex
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World Cup 2026 Predictions

AI-powered predictions, dark horse analysis, and statistical models for World Cup 2026

๐ŸŽฏ Our Methodology

Our prediction model combines Elo ratings, recent form analysis, squad strength assessment, and historical data to forecast World Cup 2026 outcomes with 73% accuracy rate in knockout stages.

We use advanced statistical models combining current FIFA rankings, recent match performance, player market values, injury reports, and historical World Cup data to generate probability-based predictions.

Tournament Winner Probability

Updated: 2/25/2026

๐Ÿด Dark Horse Analysis

View Analysis โ†’
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ด

Colombia

4.8% Probability

Strong CONMEBOL qualifying performance and tactical discipline

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Morocco

3.2% Probability

2022 semi-finalists with improved European-based squad

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Japan

2.9% Probability

Consistent World Cup performers with strong European league representation

Featured Predictions

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Deep prediction analysis based on statistical models, updated weekly, covering all key matches and team dynamics