CupIndex

2026 World Cup Golden Boot Predictions

Who will be the tournament's top scorer? Expert analysis and betting odds for all Golden Boot candidates

Last Updated: 2/22/2026
Odds updated hourly from top sportsbooks
👑
🇫🇷

Kylian Mbappé

FranceReal Madrid

7
Expected Goals
4.5
Current Odds
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🥇
🇧🇷

Vinícius Júnior

BrazilReal Madrid

5
Expected Goals
12.0
Current Odds
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🥇
🇦🇷

Lionel Messi

ArgentinaInter Miami

4
Expected Goals
18.0
Current Odds
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🥇 Top Scorer Candidates

Complete ranking of all Golden Boot candidates for World Cup 2026

RankPlayerNationLikelihoodExpected GoalsCurrent OddsAction
#1👑
🇫🇷
Kylian Mbappé
Real Madrid
France
95%
7
4.5
#2🥇
🇧🇷
Vinícius Júnior
Real Madrid
Brazil
90%
5
12.0
#3🥇
🇦🇷
Lionel Messi
Inter Miami
Argentina
75%
4
18.0
#4
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
Jude Bellingham
Real Madrid
England
95%
3
35.0

📊 Prediction Methodology

Our Golden Boot predictions are based on player scoring records, current form, team strength, expected playing time, and historical World Cup performance data.

Scoring Form

Current goals per game ratio and recent performances

🏆

Team Strength

Expected tournament progression and match opportunities

📈

Historical Data

Past World Cup performances and big tournament experience